The reason is this: If you play absolutely flawless basic strategy at blackjack, the house maintains a 1.5% edge over you per hand played. There is absolutely nothing you can do about this 1.5% edge they have over you. Thats as close as you can get to beating them. You miss by 1.5%.
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We all come to the tables by different paths. While I’m not a hardcore blackjack player, I do enjoy the game and usually dedicate about 20% of my bankroll to it. I’ll try to lay out some of the pitfalls I faced in learning and coming to love the game. Beginning or novice players might save themselves some grief, not to mention money, and experienced players might get a laugh out of my foolishness.
I started playing Twenty-One for fun as a kid. Blackjack and poker were family games in my house. My dad or mom would drag out the penny jar on a Saturday night, divvy up, and away we’d go. Of course, I wouldn’t suggest that to anyone else and I didn’t do the same with my children, but those were different times.
We played by old Las Vegas-style single deck rules except that the winner of the last hand became the dealer for the next. It didn’t take long to realize, that no matter how well I played, I wanted the deck as often as possible to be the last one standing at the end of the game.
Learning the hard way
While I learned the basics simply by playing, I didn’t know about optimal strategies until much later. I also had my own method of counting, which I learned later at some expense was deeply flawed. But I didn’t learn that until I started to play blackjack online.
You see, in our game when the dealer won they got to deal the next hand, but all cards that had been played were burned under the deck until there weren’t any fresh cards left. It’s easy to see how I was able to keep track of important cards and occasionally beat my older, smarter family members.
Being an eager kid who wanted the deck at any cost, I also developed a bad habit of playing hunches without supporting data and even doing things I’d never do now like splitting Tens or doubling an nine-count without regard to the dealer’s hand.
My first shellackings came at the man camps in Wyoming when I was working in the oil fields. We were basically locked down at a remote outpost for 6 sixteen-hour days in a row with one day off a week for 3 weeks and then cut loose every fourth week. I played a lot in the rooms and lost more than I care to remember. But that was nothing compared to the trips to the Jolly Roger once a month. The Inn is once again a respectable and safe family dining venue, but in the late 1970’s it was was a madhouse with drunken roughnecks itching for a fight, working girls, unmentionables, frequent brawls, people being thrown out windows, and of course plenty of blackjack and poker with fistfuls of twenties and hundreds changing hands over and over. It was nothing like playing from the comfort of home as a kid or online now.
Needless to say, with my ‘play by the gut’ methods, half-baked strategy, and poor card counting with the deck being shuffled between hands, this fool was soon parted from his money more than once.
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The last time I played before sitting down and taking the time to know what was really going on with the game was when I was working on a fence crew in the Nevada desert. We spent the weekends at a border town hotel-casino and you can probably guess how much money I came home with when the job was over. I guess I learned the hard way. After all, there were no online blackjack schools back then.
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I learned to play and appreciate the game after a few years playing online, mostly slots and tables. I kept seeing reference to strategy cards and had become friends on some forums with a few top-notch players who mostly played in land casinos for high stakes. I worked them for all the info I could get out of them. I copied a few strategy cards by hand to try to internalize the information faster and started playing some practice games. After I found a site that let me lower my bets to a dollar I took the plunge and started refining my game.
The rest is history, as they say. Now I can hold my own and I win as often as not, plus I get a lot of playtime from a small deposit. While I’ll never hold a candle to players like Ken Smith that’s okay, I only need to beat the dealer.
My thoughts on playing online
As far as advantage play, I don’t lend much credence to card counting for online animated RNG play. It simply seems like too much work for me to imagine counting a six-deck shoe that is reshuffled after every round. The margins are too small and the sample sizes far too large for my taste. It might be a fun hobby when I’m retired.
I tend to look for a single deck game online with decent rules. 3:2, double any two, split Aces at a minimum. I haven’t found one yet with those rules plus dealer stick on soft 17. While there are still a few 3:2 single deck games out there, most of them have fairly high minimum bets. Some providers shift the rules a bit to double on 10 or 11 only. You have to give up something and it’s rare to double on nine. I’ll still play that game. Once those rules are known I look for more than one seat.
I won’t go into the maths, but suffice to say, if I can bet on three or more hands the second hand will be bet heavier than the first and each hand in line from right to left will have a significantly increased chance of winning because I’ve seen at least seven cards (2+2+2+D) before I make the first decision. If the hands closest to the dealer end up with several splits or hits, I’ve seen quite a few cards before I make a decision on the 3rd, 4th, or 5th hand.
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There is a range of possibility for each hand, and I will eventually get around to factoring that for the amount to bet at each seat. For now, I simply bet “more”, usually doubling the wager on each hand.